Serie A · Matchweek 12
Atalanta
ATA
Inter
INT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atalanta22%
Draw22%
Inter57%
Expected goals
1.29 – 2.12
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.6%
- 1–19.2%
- 0–17.5%
- 0–27.4%
- 1–36.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Inter will have the ball; Atalanta will not mind.
44%Possession63%
39%Territory56%
15%From set plays24%
0.13Chance quality0.13
4.8%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Atalanta, 4 for Inter.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.