Serie A · Matchweek 12
Atalanta
ATA
Inter
INT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atalanta24%
Draw23%
Inter52%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.92
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–18.3%
- 0–27.3%
- 2–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Inter will have the ball; Atalanta will not mind.
46%Possession65%
42%Territory48%
9%From set plays29%
0.07Chance quality0.12
4.8%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atalanta, 3 for Inter. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atalanta
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.