Serie A · Matchweek 12
Milan
MIL
Frosinone
FRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Milan59%
Draw23%
Frosinone18%
Expected goals
1.96 – 1.03
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.4%
- 1–110.2%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.6%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Milan will have the ball; Frosinone will not mind.
58%Possession45%
36%Territory44%
22%From set plays38%
0.08Chance quality0.10
3.9%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Milan, 3 for Frosinone. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Frosinone
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.