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Serie A · Matchweek 11

Venezia

VEN

Udinese

UDI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Venezia35%
Draw26%
Udinese39%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.55

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.4%
  • 128.5%
  • 218.0%
  • 018.0%
  • 107.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Venezia will have the ball; Udinese will not mind.

55%Possession41%
40%Territory35%
18%From set plays18%
0.09Chance quality0.11
5.3%Directness8.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Venezia, 3 for Udinese. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.