Club Football Intelligence

Serie A · Matchweek 11

Fri, 6 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Venezia

VEN

19:45 UTC

Udinese

UDI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Venezia47%

Draw26%

Udinese27%

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.21

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

1–111.7%
1–010.0%
2–19.4%
2–07.4%
0–17.2%

How they playPossession, press, how they create

Udinese will have the ball; Venezia will not mind.

43%Possession55%

43%Territory46%

14%From set plays38%

0.10Chance quality0.06

5.4%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Venezia, 5 for Udinese.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Venezia

Simon SohmMF0G 1A 0.22/90
Antoine HainautMF1G 0A 0.22/90
Akor AdamsFW1G 0A 0.20/90

Udinese

Matteo PalmaDF1G 0A 0.40/90
Hassane KamaraMF0G 1A 0.33/90
Jurgen EkkelenkampMF1G 0A 0.28/90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.