Serie A · Matchweek 11
Torino
TOR
Lecce
LEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Torino52%
Draw26%
Lecce22%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.04
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.7%
- 1–111.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Torino will have the ball; Lecce will not mind.
56%Possession44%
36%Territory34%
12%From set plays61%
0.10Chance quality0.11
4.3%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Torino, 3 for Lecce. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.