Serie A · Matchweek 11
Parma
PAR
Bologna
BOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Parma26%
Draw31%
Bologna44%
Expected goals
0.92 – 1.26
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.5%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–012.6%
- 1–010.2%
- 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bologna will have the ball; Parma will not mind.
41%Possession54%
27%Territory40%
27%From set plays9%
0.09Chance quality0.07
6.1%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Parma, 3 for Bologna. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Bologna
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.