Serie A · Matchweek 11
Monza
MON
Atalanta
ATA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Monza34%
Draw27%
Atalanta39%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.47
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.2%
- 1–28.6%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Monza will have the ball; Atalanta will not mind.
55%Possession46%
45%Territory42%
16%From set plays9%
0.12Chance quality0.07
5.3%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Monza, 3 for Atalanta. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atalanta
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.