Serie A · Matchweek 11
Fiorentina
FIO
Juventus
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fiorentina22%
Draw27%
Juventus51%
Expected goals
0.92 – 1.50
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.8%
- 1–112.2%
- 0–09.9%
- 0–29.7%
- 1–29.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus will have the ball; Fiorentina will not mind.
45%Possession57%
40%Territory44%
24%From set plays46%
0.07Chance quality0.08
4.6%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fiorentina, 4 for Juventus. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Fiorentina
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 34 of 98 matches, not the full season.