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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Serie A · Matchweek 11

Fiorentina

FIO

Juventus

JUV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Fiorentina27%
Draw26%
Juventus47%

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.58

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 0–110.7%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–27.8%
  • 1–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Juventus will have the ball; Fiorentina will not mind.

45%Possession55%
49%Territory58%
11%From set plays30%
0.13Chance quality0.08
5.4%Directness3.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fiorentina, 3 for Juventus. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.