Serie A · Matchweek 11
Roma
ROM
Sassuolo
SAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Roma67%
Draw20%
Sassuolo13%
Expected goals
2.20 – 0.91
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.9%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–18.9%
- 3–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Roma will have the ball; Sassuolo will not mind.
59%Possession42%
48%Territory40%
8%From set plays13%
0.14Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Roma, 3 for Sassuolo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.