Serie A · Matchweek 11
Roma
ROM
Sassuolo
SAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Roma74%
Draw16%
Sassuolo11%
Expected goals
2.68 – 1.00
Over 2.5
70%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–09.4%
- 2–19.1%
- 3–18.1%
- 3–08.0%
- 1–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Roma will have the ball; Sassuolo will not mind.
61%Possession48%
44%Territory37%
20%From set plays17%
0.13Chance quality0.09
3.6%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Roma, 3 for Sassuolo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.