Serie A · Matchweek 10
Udinese
UDI
Roma
ROM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Udinese18%
Draw22%
Roma60%
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.98
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–110.5%
- 1–110.1%
- 1–210.0%
- 0–29.7%
- 1–36.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Roma will have the ball; Udinese will not mind.
41%Possession59%
35%Territory48%
18%From set plays8%
0.11Chance quality0.14
8.8%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Udinese, 3 for Roma. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.