Serie A · Matchweek 10
Sassuolo
SAS
Fiorentina
FIO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sassuolo37%
Draw26%
Fiorentina38%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.56
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–17.5%
- 1–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession45%
37%Territory40%
17%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.07
4.0%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sassuolo, 3 for Fiorentina. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Fiorentina
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.