Serie A · Matchweek 10
Juventus
JUV
Napoli
NAP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juventus53%
Draw26%
Napoli21%
Expected goals
1.63 – 0.97
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.6%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.6%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus will have the ball; Napoli will not mind.
55%Possession46%
58%Territory49%
30%From set plays22%
0.08Chance quality0.12
3.0%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Juventus, 3 for Napoli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Juventus
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.