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Serie A · Matchweek 10

Frosinone

FRO

Torino

TOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Frosinone44%
Draw26%
Torino30%

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.32

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.5%
  • 219.1%
  • 109.0%
  • 127.2%
  • 017.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Torino will have the ball; Frosinone will not mind.

45%Possession56%
44%Territory36%
38%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Frosinone, 3 for Torino. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.