Serie A · Matchweek 10
Bologna
BOL
Monza
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bologna47%
Draw27%
Monza26%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.11
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.2%
- 0–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession55%
40%Territory45%
9%From set plays16%
0.07Chance quality0.12
3.9%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bologna, 3 for Monza. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Bologna
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.