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Serie A · Matchweek 9

Venezia

VEN

Inter

INT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Venezia12%
Draw16%
Inter73%

Expected goals

1.06 – 2.70

Over 2.5

71%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 129.0%
  • 028.7%
  • 138.1%
  • 037.5%
  • 016.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Inter will have the ball; Venezia will not mind.

55%Possession65%
40%Territory48%
18%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.12
5.3%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Venezia, 3 for Inter. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.