Serie A · Matchweek 9
Genoa
GEN
Juventus
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Genoa18%
Draw25%
Juventus57%
Expected goals
0.89 – 1.70
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.4%
- 1–111.3%
- 0–210.7%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus will have the ball; Genoa will not mind.
45%Possession55%
31%Territory58%
23%From set plays30%
0.08Chance quality0.08
4.2%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Genoa, 3 for Juventus. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.