Serie A · Matchweek 9
Roma
ROM
Cagliari
CAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Roma70%
Draw19%
Cagliari11%
Expected goals
2.17 – 0.77
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.6%
- 1–012.1%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–18.7%
- 3–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Roma will have the ball; Cagliari will not mind.
59%Possession39%
48%Territory31%
8%From set plays29%
0.14Chance quality0.13
4.5%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Roma, 3 for Cagliari. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.