Serie A · Matchweek 8
Udinese
UDI
Milan
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Udinese28%
Draw26%
Milan47%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.65
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–27.3%
- 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Milan will have the ball; Udinese will not mind.
41%Possession58%
35%Territory36%
18%From set plays22%
0.11Chance quality0.08
8.8%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Udinese, 3 for Milan. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.