Serie A · Matchweek 8
Lecce
LEC
Juventus
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lecce13%
Draw22%
Juventus65%
Expected goals
0.74 – 1.90
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.1%
- 0–212.8%
- 1–19.9%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus will have the ball; Lecce will not mind.
44%Possession55%
34%Territory58%
61%From set plays30%
0.11Chance quality0.08
5.6%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lecce, 3 for Juventus. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.