Serie A · Matchweek 8
Inter
INT
Fiorentina
FIO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Inter67%
Draw18%
Fiorentina15%
Expected goals
2.51 – 1.18
Over 2.5
70%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.3%
- 2–08.1%
- 3–17.8%
- 1–17.5%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Inter will have the ball; Fiorentina will not mind.
65%Possession45%
48%Territory49%
29%From set plays11%
0.12Chance quality0.13
4.5%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Inter, 3 for Fiorentina. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.