Serie A · Matchweek 8
Genoa
GEN
Venezia
VEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Genoa49%
Draw26%
Venezia25%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.16
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–07.9%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Venezia will have the ball; Genoa will not mind.
45%Possession55%
31%Territory40%
23%From set plays18%
0.08Chance quality0.09
4.2%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Genoa, 3 for Venezia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.