Serie A · Matchweek 8
Cagliari
CAG
Bologna
BOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cagliari34%
Draw30%
Bologna36%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.20
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 0–111.5%
- 1–011.1%
- 0–010.8%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bologna will have the ball; Cagliari will not mind.
39%Possession54%
31%Territory40%
29%From set plays9%
0.13Chance quality0.07
5.2%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cagliari, 3 for Bologna. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Bologna
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.