Serie A · Matchweek 7
Venezia
VEN
Napoli
NAP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Venezia22%
Draw24%
Napoli54%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.84
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–28.6%
- 1–36.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Venezia will have the ball; Napoli will not mind.
55%Possession46%
40%Territory49%
18%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.12
5.3%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Venezia, 3 for Napoli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.