Serie A · Matchweek 7
Parma
PAR
Torino
TOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Parma33%
Draw29%
Torino38%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.27
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 0–111.3%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–010.0%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Torino will have the ball; Parma will not mind.
41%Possession56%
27%Territory36%
27%From set plays12%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.1%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Parma, 3 for Torino. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.