Serie A · Matchweek 7
Monza
MON
Cagliari
CAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Monza44%
Draw27%
Cagliari29%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.21
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.9%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Monza will have the ball; Cagliari will not mind.
55%Possession39%
45%Territory31%
16%From set plays29%
0.12Chance quality0.13
5.3%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Monza, 3 for Cagliari. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.