Serie A · Matchweek 7
Juventus
JUV
Lazio
LAZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juventus55%
Draw26%
Lazio19%
Expected goals
1.59 – 0.86
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.3%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–010.6%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–19.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus will have the ball; Lazio will not mind.
55%Possession47%
58%Territory41%
30%From set plays21%
0.08Chance quality0.15
3.0%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Juventus, 3 for Lazio. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Juventus
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.