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Serie A · Matchweek 7

Frosinone

FRO

Sassuolo

SAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Frosinone38%
Draw26%
Sassuolo36%

Expected goals

1.52 – 1.46

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.5%
  • 218.5%
  • 108.1%
  • 128.1%
  • 017.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Frosinone get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

45%Possession42%
44%Territory40%
38%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Frosinone, 3 for Sassuolo. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.