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Serie A · Matchweek 7

Bologna

BOL

Inter

INT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bologna21%
Draw24%
Inter55%

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.89

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.5%
  • 129.9%
  • 019.8%
  • 028.6%
  • 136.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Inter will have the ball; Bologna will not mind.

54%Possession65%
40%Territory48%
9%From set plays29%
0.07Chance quality0.12
3.9%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bologna, 3 for Inter. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Bologna

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.