Serie A · Matchweek 7
Roma
ROM
Genoa
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Roma71%
Draw18%
Genoa11%
Expected goals
2.22 – 0.78
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.4%
- 1–011.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 3–08.8%
- 1–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Roma will have the ball; Genoa will not mind.
59%Possession45%
48%Territory31%
8%From set plays23%
0.14Chance quality0.08
4.5%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Roma, 3 for Genoa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.