Serie A · Matchweek 7
Milan
MIL
Atalanta
ATA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Milan47%
Draw27%
Atalanta26%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.13
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.9%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Milan will have the ball; Atalanta will not mind.
58%Possession46%
36%Territory42%
22%From set plays9%
0.08Chance quality0.07
3.9%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Milan, 3 for Atalanta. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atalanta
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.