Serie A · Matchweek 6
Sassuolo
SAS
Milan
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sassuolo31%
Draw27%
Milan42%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.54
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–07.8%
- 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Milan will have the ball; Sassuolo will not mind.
42%Possession58%
40%Territory36%
13%From set plays22%
0.10Chance quality0.08
5.0%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sassuolo, 3 for Milan. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.