Serie A · Matchweek 6
Napoli
NAP
Frosinone
FRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Napoli59%
Draw23%
Frosinone19%
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.04
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.4%
- 1–110.3%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.5%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Frosinone get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession45%
49%Territory44%
22%From set plays38%
0.12Chance quality0.10
4.3%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Napoli, 3 for Frosinone. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Frosinone
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.