Serie A · Matchweek 6
Lecce
LEC
Bologna
BOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lecce25%
Draw29%
Bologna46%
Expected goals
0.98 – 1.38
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.4%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–010.6%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–28.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bologna will have the ball; Lecce will not mind.
44%Possession54%
34%Territory40%
61%From set plays9%
0.11Chance quality0.07
5.6%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lecce, 3 for Bologna. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Bologna
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.