Serie A · Matchweek 6
Lazio
LAZ
Monza
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lazio52%
Draw25%
Monza22%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.04
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.6%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Monza will have the ball; Lazio will not mind.
47%Possession55%
41%Territory45%
21%From set plays16%
0.15Chance quality0.12
3.8%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lazio, 3 for Monza. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.