Serie A · Matchweek 6
Inter
INT
Parma
PAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Inter80%
Draw13%
Parma6%
Expected goals
2.75 – 0.71
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.2%
- 3–010.8%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–18.4%
- 3–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Inter will have the ball; Parma will not mind.
65%Possession41%
48%Territory27%
29%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Inter, 3 for Parma. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.