Serie A · Matchweek 6
Cagliari
CAG
Juventus
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cagliari19%
Draw26%
Juventus56%
Expected goals
0.88 – 1.66
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.7%
- 1–111.5%
- 0–210.6%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus will have the ball; Cagliari will not mind.
39%Possession55%
31%Territory58%
29%From set plays30%
0.13Chance quality0.08
5.2%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cagliari, 3 for Juventus. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.