Serie A · Matchweek 6
Atalanta
ATA
Venezia
VEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atalanta61%
Draw22%
Venezia17%
Expected goals
2.01 – 0.99
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.6%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.9%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Venezia will have the ball; Atalanta will not mind.
46%Possession55%
42%Territory40%
9%From set plays18%
0.07Chance quality0.09
4.8%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atalanta, 3 for Venezia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atalanta
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.