Serie A · Matchweek 5
Venezia
VEN
Lazio
LAZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Venezia24%
Draw26%
Lazio50%
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.62
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–111.3%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–28.4%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Venezia will have the ball; Lazio will not mind.
55%Possession47%
40%Territory41%
18%From set plays21%
0.09Chance quality0.15
5.3%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Venezia, 3 for Lazio. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.