Serie A · Matchweek 5
Monza
MON
Sassuolo
SAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Monza40%
Draw26%
Sassuolo34%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.43
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–08.3%
- 1–27.8%
- 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Monza will have the ball; Sassuolo will not mind.
55%Possession42%
45%Territory40%
16%From set plays13%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.3%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Monza, 3 for Sassuolo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.