Serie A · Matchweek 5
Juventus
JUV
Atalanta
ATA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juventus57%
Draw25%
Atalanta18%
Expected goals
1.72 – 0.89
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.2%
- 1–111.2%
- 2–010.7%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus will have the ball; Atalanta will not mind.
55%Possession46%
58%Territory42%
30%From set plays9%
0.08Chance quality0.07
3.0%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Juventus, 3 for Atalanta. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Juventus
Atalanta
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.