Serie A · Matchweek 5
Bologna
BOL
Torino
TOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bologna49%
Draw27%
Torino24%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.04
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–012.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.6%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession56%
40%Territory36%
9%From set plays12%
0.07Chance quality0.10
3.9%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bologna, 3 for Torino. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Bologna
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.