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Superligaen · Matchweek 22

Nordsjælland

NOR

Viborg

VIB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Nordsjælland44%
Draw27%
Viborg29%

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.21

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.1%
  • 1010.3%
  • 219.1%
  • 018.0%
  • 007.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

51%Possession51%
31%Territory46%
9%From set plays23%
0.14Chance quality0.11
4.3%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Nordsjælland, 3 for Viborg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Nordsjælland

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.