Superligaen · Matchweek 22
Nordsjælland
NOR
Viborg
VIB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nordsjælland45%
Draw26%
Viborg29%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.28
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.1%
- 1–27.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession51%
40%Territory41%
22%From set plays17%
0.14Chance quality0.09
5.2%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nordsjælland, 3 for Viborg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nordsjælland
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.