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Superligaen · Matchweek 22

Silkeborg

SIL

Sønderjyske

SND

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Silkeborg48%
Draw25%
Sønderjyske27%

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.22

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.4%
  • 109.7%
  • 219.5%
  • 207.5%
  • 016.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

45%Possession41%
36%Territory35%
22%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.08
4.6%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Silkeborg, 3 for Sønderjyske. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.