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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 22

Silkeborg

SIL

Sønderjyske

SND

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Silkeborg39%
Draw29%
Sønderjyske32%

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.18

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 0–09.3%
  • 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

46%Possession49%
33%Territory40%
23%From set plays35%
0.07Chance quality0.09
3.9%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Silkeborg, 3 for Sønderjyske. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.