Superligaen · Matchweek 22
Brøndby IF
BRN
AC Horsens
ACH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brøndby IF59%
Draw21%
AC Horsens20%
Expected goals
2.25 – 1.31
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.5%
- 1–18.6%
- 2–07.3%
- 3–17.0%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AC Horsens get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession53%
44%Territory45%
28%From set plays44%
0.20Chance quality0.13
4.8%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brøndby IF, 3 for AC Horsens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.