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Superligaen · Matchweek 22

FC Midtjylland

FCM

AGF

AGF

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Midtjylland53%
Draw24%
AGF23%

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.20

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.6%
  • 219.8%
  • 109.3%
  • 207.9%
  • 126.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AGF will have the ball; FC Midtjylland will not mind.

48%Possession57%
40%Territory42%
50%From set plays14%
0.12Chance quality0.10
9.5%Directness3.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC Midtjylland, 4 for AGF.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.