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Superligaen · Matchweek 22

OB

OB

Randers FC

RAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OB41%
Draw26%
Randers FC33%

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.40

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Randers FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

41%Possession43%
35%Territory37%
27%From set plays63%
0.08Chance quality0.16
6.0%Directness6.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for OB, 3 for Randers FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.