Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 21

AC Horsens

ACH

OB

OB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AC Horsens49%
Draw25%
OB27%

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.27

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 2–07.3%
  • 1–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AC Horsens get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

53%Possession57%
34%Territory44%
51%From set plays29%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.2%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AC Horsens, 3 for OB. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.