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Superligaen · Matchweek 21

AC Horsens

ACH

OB

OB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AC Horsens48%
Draw25%
OB26%

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.22

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–07.5%
  • 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AC Horsens will have the ball; OB will not mind.

53%Possession41%
45%Territory35%
44%From set plays27%
0.13Chance quality0.08
5.0%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AC Horsens, 3 for OB. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.