Skip to content

Superligaen · Matchweek 21

AGF

AGF

Nordsjælland

NOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AGF34%
Draw26%
Nordsjælland40%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.58

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.3%
  • 128.6%
  • 018.0%
  • 217.9%
  • 107.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

57%Possession51%
42%Territory31%
14%From set plays9%
0.10Chance quality0.14
3.5%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for AGF, 4 for Nordsjælland.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.