Superligaen · Matchweek 21
AGF
AGF
Nordsjælland
NOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AGF34%
Draw26%
Nordsjælland40%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.58
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–28.7%
- 0–18.1%
- 2–17.8%
- 1–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession55%
38%Territory40%
18%From set plays22%
0.11Chance quality0.14
4.2%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AGF, 3 for Nordsjælland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.