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Superligaen · Matchweek 21

Viborg

VIB

Brøndby IF

BRN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Viborg36%
Draw26%
Brøndby IF38%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.52

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 1–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

51%Possession51%
41%Territory44%
17%From set plays28%
0.09Chance quality0.20
5.8%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Viborg, 3 for Brøndby IF. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.