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Superligaen · Matchweek 21

Randers FC

RAN

FC Midtjylland

FCM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Randers FC36%
Draw24%
FC Midtjylland39%

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.72

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

67%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.1%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 0–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Randers FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

43%Possession50%
37%Territory41%
63%From set plays26%
0.16Chance quality0.12
6.1%Directness8.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Randers FC, 3 for FC Midtjylland. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.