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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 21

FC København

FCK

Silkeborg

SIL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC København60%
Draw22%
Silkeborg18%

Expected goals

1.97 – 1.02

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–010.5%
  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 2–09.7%
  • 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

48%Possession45%
32%Territory36%
22%From set plays22%
0.13Chance quality0.10
6.7%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC København, 3 for Silkeborg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.